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Good Afternoon. A new sheriff at the Fed, a holiday-weekend rally setting up the S&P 500 for an eighth straight weekly gain, and a pump price story nobody wants on the drive to the lake. Bond yields settled after this week's scare, AI ecosystem names continued their post-Nvidia victory lap, and Wall Street kept finding reasons to climb walls of worry. Here's what to know before you grill.

—Rosie, Wyatt, Evan & Conor

💰 Markets

S&P 500

Dow Jones

NASDAQ 100

iShares 7–10 Year Treasury

Bitcoin

Volatility Index

🔍 Section Focus

🔥 What’s Hot: 🔥

  • AI Hardware Beyond Nvidia: Lenovo shares jumped about 15% after Q4 AI revenue grew 84% YoY and management flagged a $15.5B AI server order pipeline — the post-Nvidia ripple is now a full ecosystem trade.

🥶 What’s Not: 🥶

  • Affordable Memorial Day: The national average gas price climbed above $4.50/gal, the highest entering a Memorial Day weekend since 2022, as Iran-conflict premium stays at the pump.

🇺🇸 U.S. News

1. Warsh Settles In: New Fed Chair Sworn In as Yields Test Historic Highs

The News: Kevin Warsh was sworn in this morning as the 17th Chair of the Federal Reserve, replacing Jerome Powell at the end of his term. Warsh, a former Fed governor during the 2008 crisis, takes the gavel with the 30-year Treasury yield hovering near 5.20% and inflation expectations still elevated.

Why It Matters: Warsh has long been viewed as hawkish on inflation and skeptical of asset-purchase programs. For investors, the immediate question is whether his arrival changes the FOMC's signaling on rate cuts that the futures market had been pricing for late 2026. For consumers, his approach to long-end yields matters more than the funds rate — mortgage and auto rates ride the 10-year, not the 2-year.

What to Watch: Warsh's first public remarks as Chair, expected in coming days, and any shift in the Fed's quantitative tightening pace at the June FOMC meeting.

Source: pbs.org

2. Eight Weeks and Counting: Dow Reaches Record, S&P 500 Targets Longest Win Streak Since 2023

The News: The Dow advanced about 0.2% Friday, building on Thursday's record closing high of 50,285. The S&P 500 was on track for its eighth straight weekly gain, which would mark its longest weekly win streak since 2023, per Bloomberg.

Why It Matters: Two consecutive months of higher highs into a soft-data quiet zone is a market that's hard to fight, but it's also a market that's increasingly leaning on AI capex and peace-deal optimism. For investors, the breadth question matters — utilities and consumer discretionary leadership Thursday suggests defensives are working, which is not how late-cycle rallies usually look.

What to Watch: Whether the rally extends through next week's PCE inflation reading, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, due Friday May 29.

3. Booz Allen Beats: Government Consultant Posts Strong Q4 as DOGE Fears Fade

The News: Booz Allen Hamilton reported Q4 FY26 earnings that surpassed estimates, with shares gaining about 5% on the report. The federal-government consulting giant posted full-year results that beat the analyst consensus despite earlier worries about federal spending cuts under the new administration.

Why It Matters: Booz Allen is a real-time barometer of federal contracting demand. For investors, the beat suggests that fears about civilian-agency contract cuts were overdone, and defense and intel-related work continues to grow. For the broader market, government services stocks are a tell on how much "efficiency" rhetoric is actually translating into lost revenue at incumbents.

What to Watch: Backlog growth on the earnings call and any updated guidance on FY27 federal-budget exposure.

4. IMAX in Play: Big-Screen Operator Explores a Sale

The News: IMAX has begun exploring a potential sale, the Wall Street Journal reported, with shares jumping about 15% in after-hours trading on the news. The premium-format theater operator has been a rare winner in a beaten-up cinema sector and has attracted preliminary interest from larger media and entertainment players.

Why It Matters: IMAX is a tiny company with an outsized footprint in the moviegoing experience, and a deal would be a referendum on whether premium content can still drive in-person spending. For investors, the takeout is a reminder that mid-cap media still has scarcity value — there are only so many global premium-cinema networks. For consumers, ownership changes rarely show up at the box office.

What to Watch: Whether the eventual bidder is a strategic (a studio, a theater chain) or a private equity sponsor, which would signal very different post-deal strategies.

Source: cnbc.com

5. Memorial Day Pain at the Pump: Gas at Four-Year High Heading Into the Long Weekend

The News: The U.S. national average gasoline price has climbed above $4.50 per gallon, the highest level entering Memorial Day weekend since 2022, per NPR and CNBC reporting. The spike is driven primarily by the ongoing Iran conflict's premium on crude oil, with WTI near $98 and Brent near $102.50.

Why It Matters: Energy is a regressive tax on lower-income households, and a $4.50 average rate hits travel, retail, and discretionary spending squarely. For investors, the read-through is that headline inflation readings over the next two months will likely come in hotter than core, complicating the Fed's path. For consumers, a road-trip budget just got 15-20% more expensive than last summer.

What to Watch: EIA's next weekly inventory report and any breakthrough in U.S.-Iran negotiations, either of which could move pump prices fast in either direction.

Source: cnbc.com

🌎 World News

1. Lenovo's Best Year Ever: AI Revenue Doubles, Shares Jump 15% in Hong Kong

The News: Lenovo posted Q4 FY26 revenue of $21.6 billion, up 27% year-over-year, with AI-related revenue growing 84% YoY to account for 38% of the quarter's sales. Full-year revenue hit a record $83.1 billion and adjusted net income grew 42% to $2 billion, sending Hong Kong-listed shares up about 15%.

Why It Matters: Lenovo is now a serious player in the AI server market with a reported $15.5-21B order pipeline — direct competition for Dell, HPE, and Supermicro. For investors, the read-through is that the AI capex cycle is broadening beyond Nvidia's customer list and into the OEM layer. For the broader market, it's another data point that AI demand is real and accelerating, not just concentrated in two or three hyperscalers.

What to Watch: Whether Lenovo can secure enough GPU allocation from Nvidia to convert that pipeline into recognized revenue without margin compression.

Source: lenovo.com

2. Iran Talks Inch Forward: Rubio Cites "Slight Progress" as Trump Holds Hard Line on Uranium

The News: U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said today that mediated talks between Washington and Tehran have shown "slight progress," with Pakistan's interior minister actively involved in shuttle diplomacy. President Trump told reporters the U.S. will "destroy Iran's enriched uranium" if a deal falls through, while Iran's supreme leader continues to insist the country's uranium reserves stay on Iranian soil.

Why It Matters: This is the "narrowing the gap" framing markets want to hear, but the substantive red lines haven't moved. For investors, oil pricing has been jumpy on every headline — Brent has swung between $100 and $107 this week. For consumers, the difference between a deal and no deal is roughly 50 cents per gallon at the pump heading into summer.

What to Watch: Whether next week brings a face-to-face meeting between U.S. and Iranian negotiators in Geneva or a third-country capital, which would mark a real escalation in diplomacy.

3. Global Bond Yields Hit the Danger Zone

The News: Barron's reported that global government bond yields have climbed to levels historically associated with equity market trouble. The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield touched 5.20% on May 19 — its highest since mid-2007 — while UK gilts and Japanese government bonds have also surged on deficit and inflation concerns.

Why It Matters: When risk-free yields rise above the earnings yield of stocks, equity valuations get squeezed mechanically. For investors, the S&P 500 trades around a 4.3% forward earnings yield against a 5%+ 30-year Treasury, the widest negative spread in two decades. For consumers, persistently higher long-end rates mean 30-year mortgage rates stay near 7%, regardless of what the Fed does at the front end.

What to Watch: Next week's 2-, 5-, and 7-year Treasury auctions and whether foreign central banks — particularly Japan's — show up as buyers.

Source: barrons.com

🥸 Dad Joke of the Day

Q: What did the astronaut say when he crashed into the moon?

A: I Apollo-gize.

📖 Vocab Word of the Day

Inherited IRA:

A retirement account inherited from a deceased account holder, governed by special distribution rules; under the SECURE Act, most non-spouse beneficiaries must fully distribute the account within 10 years of the original owner's death.

Usage: "After her father passed, Maria opened an Inherited IRA and worked with her CFP® to map out the 10-year withdrawal schedule that would minimize her tax hit."

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